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2025 Ontario general election

← 2022 February 27, 2025
← outgoing members
124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario 63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Leader Doug Ford Marit Stiles Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic Leader since March 10, 2018 February 4, 2023 Leader's seat Etobicoke North Davenport Last election 83 seats, 40.82% 31 seats, 23.74% Current seats 79 28 Seats needed 35   Leader Bonnie Crombie Mike Schreiner Party Liberal Green Leader since December 2, 2023 November 15, 2009 Leader's seat Running in Mississauga East—Cooksville Guelph Last election 8 seats, 23.85% 1 seat, 5.96% Current seats 9 2 Seats needed 54 61
Incumbent Premier Doug Ford Progressive Conservative

The 2025 Ontario general election will take place on February 27, 2025, to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario. On January 24, 2025, Premier Doug Ford confirmed that he would be asking the Lieutenant Governor to dissolve the legislature and call for a snap election.

The incumbent Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (PC) government, led by Premier Doug Ford since 2018, will be seeking re-election to a third consecutive term. The PC's primary opponents are the Ontario Liberal Party (OLP) led by Bonnie Crombie and the Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) led by Marit Stiles.

Background

Under the Ontario Elections Act, general elections must be held on the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election. As the previous election was held on June 2, 2022, this election would be held on June 4, 2026. However, it has been speculated since early 2024 that Premier Doug Ford would call a snap election to take advantage of a lead in the polls and fundraising, as well as a desire to hold the election before the next federal election, which the Conservative Party is projected to win. This speculation was fuelled in May 2024, when Ford refused to commit to the June 2026 date when asked by reporters at multiple press conferences.

On January 23, 2025, multiple media outlets reported that Ford would visit Edith Dumont, the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario, on January 29 to ask for the 43rd Provincial Parliament to be dissolved, triggering an election to be held on February 27. This was confirmed by Ford at a press conference on January 24. On January 28, he met with Dumont; the Provincial Parliament was formally dissolved, with a writ of election issued the next day. The election will cost $189 million.

Ridings

The Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015 increased the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following the boundaries set out by the federal 2013 Representation Order for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in Northern Ontario set out in the 1996 redistribution.

The Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission, appointed in 2016, recommended the creation of the additional districts of Kiiwetinoong and Mushkegowuk—James Bay, carved out from the existing Kenora—Rainy River and Timmins—James Bay ridings, which accordingly raised the total number of seats to 124. This was implemented through the Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017.

With the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, Ontario has been allotted 1 additional seat in the House of Commons. On August 1, 2024, Premier Ford announced that Ontario would break with recent tradition and not adopt the federal electoral boundary changes for the next provincial election.

Timeline

2022

• June 2: The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario under Doug Ford won a second majority government in the 43rd Ontario general election. New Democratic Party leader Andrea Horwath and Liberal leader Steven Del Duca both announced their resignation on election night.
• June 28: Toronto—Danforth MPP Peter Tabuns was named interim leader of the NDP, becoming Leader of the Official Opposition.
• August 3: Ottawa South MPP John Fraser was named interim leader of the Liberals.

2023

• February 4: Marit Stiles was declared leader of the NDP, and became Leader of the Official Opposition.
• December 2: Bonnie Crombie was elected leader of the Liberals.

2025

• January 28: Writs of the election were drawn up, dissolving the Legislature and officially starting the campaign.
• February 27: Election day.

Seat changes

1. to run for Mayor of Hamilton.
2. due to allegations that he was involved in the 2019 Canadian Parliament infiltration plot.
3. over workplace misconduct allegations.
4. to run for Mayor of Toronto.
5. to accept position at the University of Waterloo
6. after contradictory claims were made regarding a Las Vegas business trip.
7. ^ to accept position in the private sector
8. over comments made regarding the 2023 Israel–Hamas war
9. to run in the next federal election
10. after meeting with far-right activist Tommy Robinson

Byelection results

Candidates

Incumbents not standing for re-election

To date 12 MPPs have chose not to run in the 2025 Ontario election:

Campaign

Ford's PC's launched their campaign in Windsor, in front of the Ambassador Bridge. Stiles' NDP launched their campaign in Toronto, while Crombie's Liberal's launched their campaign in Barrie. Schreiner's Green's launched their campaign with a speech in Queen's Park.

Issues

In January 2025, Ford began to state that he would need a "clear mandate" from voters to respond to the tariffs on Canadian imports to the United States threatened by new President Donald Trump.

Party slogans

Endorsements

Opinion polls

Footnotes

1. ^ Previously elected as Progressive Conservative

References

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65. https://x.com/JimDinn/status/1884674627454050673
66. https://x.com/OntarioPCParty/status/1885058253836501295

Opinion poll sources

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External links

• Elections Ontario

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